Live prediction market odds for SMU Mustangs vs. Stanford Cardinal. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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Kalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
2026-02-28
cbb-smu-stan-2026-02-28 : Sports event: SMU Mustangs vs. Stanford Cardinal - cbb
Stanford Cardinal leads the “SMU Mustangs vs. Stanford Cardinal” event at 60.9% implied probability, followed by SMU Mustangs at 39.6%. A 17.8% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
SMU Mustangs vs. Stanford Cardinal is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Stanford Cardinal leads at 61% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include SMU Mustangs at 40%.
Stanford Cardinal currently leads at 61% implied probability. Behind Stanford Cardinal, SMU Mustangs at 40% are the next closest contenders. The 17.8% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Stanford Cardinal: 63¢ on Kalshi, 69¢ on Polymarket, 51¢ on ProphetX. SMU Mustangs: 38¢ on Kalshi, 32¢ on Polymarket, 49¢ on ProphetX. The 17.8% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 61¢ means the market estimates a 61% probability that Stanford Cardinal will be the outcome. Buying one share at 61¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 64% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Stanford Cardinal
60.9% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf SMU wins the SMU at Stanford men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the SMU at Stanford men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 28, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
