Live prediction market odds for South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-19
This market resolved on 2026-03-19. Louisville was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
cbb-usf-lou-2026-03-19 : Sports event: South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
LouisvilleWINNER | 99% | 100% | 96% |
South Florida | 1% | 0% | 91% |
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Louisville led the market at 98% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include South Florida at 31%.
Louisville held the lead at 98% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Louisville, South Florida at 31% were the next closest contenders. The 90.7% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Louisville: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket, 96¢ on ProphetX. South Florida: 1¢ on Kalshi, 0¢ on Polymarket, 91¢ on ProphetX. The 90.7% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 98¢ meant the market estimated a 98% chance that Louisville would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 98¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 2% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Louisville wins the South Florida at Louisville men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the South Florida at Louisville men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 19, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
Louisville
98.2% avg
