Live prediction market odds for South Florida Bulls vs. Memphis Tigers. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-05
This market resolved on 2026-03-05. South Florida Bulls was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 75%.
cbb-sfl-mphs-2026-03-05 : Sports event: South Florida Bulls vs. Memphis Tigers - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
South Florida BullsWINNER | 75% | 74% | 96% |
Memphis Tigers | 26% | 26% | 9% |
South Florida Bulls vs. Memphis Tigers was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). South Florida Bulls led the market at 82% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Memphis Tigers at 20%.
South Florida Bulls held the lead at 82% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind South Florida Bulls, Memphis Tigers at 20% were the next closest contenders. The 22.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: South Florida Bulls: 75¢ on Kalshi, 74¢ on Polymarket, 96¢ on ProphetX. Memphis Tigers: 26¢ on Kalshi, 26¢ on Polymarket, 9¢ on ProphetX. The 22.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 82¢ meant the market estimated a 82% chance that South Florida Bulls would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 82¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 22% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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South Florida Bulls
81.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf South Florida wins the South Florida at Memphis men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the South Florida at Memphis men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 5, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
