Live prediction market odds for Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs. Marshall Thundering Herd. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-04
This market resolved on 2026-02-04. Marshall was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 91%.
cbb-soumis-marsh-2026-02-04 : Sports event: Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs. Marshall Thundering Herd - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
MarshallWINNER | 99% | 83% |
Southern Miss | 1% | 17% |
Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs. Marshall Thundering Herd was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Marshall led the market at 91% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Southern Miss at 9%.
Marshall held the lead at 91% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Marshall, Southern Miss at 9% were the next closest contenders. The 16.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Marshall: 99¢ on Kalshi, 83¢ on Polymarket. Southern Miss: 1¢ on Kalshi, 17¢ on Polymarket. The 16.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 91¢ meant the market estimated a 91% chance that Marshall would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 91¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 10% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Marshall
91.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Marshall wins the Southern Miss at Marshall men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Southern Miss at Marshall men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 4, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
