Live prediction market odds for Southern Utah Thunderbirds vs. Tarleton State Texans. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-02-19
This market resolved on 2026-02-19. Tarleton State Texans was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 81%.
cbb-sutah-tarl-2026-02-19 : Sports event: Southern Utah Thunderbirds vs. Tarleton State Texans - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Tarleton State TexansWINNER | — | 68% | 95% |
Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 32% | 33% | 10% |
Southern Utah Thunderbirds vs. Tarleton State Texans was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Tarleton State Texans led the market at 81% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Southern Utah Thunderbirds at 25%.
Tarleton State Texans held the lead at 81% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Tarleton State Texans, Southern Utah Thunderbirds at 25% were the next closest contenders. The 27.8% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Tarleton State Texans: 68¢ on Polymarket, 95¢ on ProphetX. Southern Utah Thunderbirds: 32¢ on Kalshi, 33¢ on Polymarket, 10¢ on ProphetX. The 27.8% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 81¢ meant the market estimated a 81% chance that Tarleton State Texans would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 81¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 23% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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Tarleton State Texans
81.4% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Southern Utah wins the Southern Utah at Tarleton St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Southern Utah at Tarleton St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 19, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
