Live prediction market odds for Southern Utah Thunderbirds vs. UT Arlington Mavericks. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-12
This market resolved on 2026-03-12. UT Arlington was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 98%.
cbb-suu-uta-2026-03-12 : Sports event: Southern Utah Thunderbirds vs. UT Arlington Mavericks - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
UT ArlingtonWINNER | 99% | 67% | 98% |
Southern Utah | 1% | 34% | 7% |
Southern Utah Thunderbirds vs. UT Arlington Mavericks was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). UT Arlington led the market at 88% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Southern Utah at 14%.
UT Arlington held the lead at 88% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind UT Arlington, Southern Utah at 14% were the next closest contenders. The 32.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: UT Arlington: 99¢ on Kalshi, 67¢ on Polymarket, 98¢ on ProphetX. Southern Utah: 1¢ on Kalshi, 34¢ on Polymarket, 7¢ on ProphetX. The 32.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 88¢ meant the market estimated a 88% chance that UT Arlington would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 88¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 14% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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UT Arlington
87.9% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Southern Utah wins the Southern Utah at UT Arlington men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Southern Utah at UT Arlington men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 12, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
