Live prediction market odds for St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. George Mason Patriots. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-12
This market resolved on 2026-03-12. St. Bonaventure Bonnies was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 84%.
cbb-sbu-gmu-2026-03-12 : Sports event: St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. George Mason Patriots - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
St. Bonaventure BonniesWINNER | — | 74% | 95% |
George Mason | 1% | 27% | 10% |
St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. George Mason Patriots was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). St. Bonaventure Bonnies led the market at 84% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include George Mason at 12%.
St. Bonaventure Bonnies held the lead at 84% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind St. Bonaventure Bonnies, George Mason at 12% were the next closest contenders. The 25.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: St. Bonaventure Bonnies: 74¢ on Polymarket, 95¢ on ProphetX. George Mason: 1¢ on Kalshi, 27¢ on Polymarket, 10¢ on ProphetX. The 25.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 84¢ meant the market estimated a 84% chance that St. Bonaventure Bonnies would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 84¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 19% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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St. Bonaventure Bonnies
84.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf George Mason wins the St. Bonaventure at George Mason men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the St. Bonaventure at George Mason men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 12, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
