Live prediction market odds for Tarleton State Texans vs. Abilene Christian Wildcats. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-11
This market resolved on 2026-03-11. Abilene Christian Wildcats was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 97%.
cbb-tar-acu-2026-03-11 : Sports event: Tarleton State Texans vs. Abilene Christian Wildcats - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Abilene Christian WildcatsWINNER | 99% | 49% | 97% |
Tarleton State Texans | — | 52% | 8% |
Tarleton State Texans vs. Abilene Christian Wildcats was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Abilene Christian Wildcats led the market at 81% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Tarleton State Texans at 30%.
Abilene Christian Wildcats held the lead at 81% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Abilene Christian Wildcats, Tarleton State Texans at 30% were the next closest contenders. The 50.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Abilene Christian Wildcats: 99¢ on Kalshi, 49¢ on Polymarket, 97¢ on ProphetX. Tarleton State Texans: 52¢ on Polymarket, 8¢ on ProphetX. The 50.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 81¢ meant the market estimated a 81% chance that Abilene Christian Wildcats would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 81¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 23% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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Abilene Christian Wildcats
81.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Abilene Christian wins the Tarleton St. at Abilene Christian men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Tarleton St. at Abilene Christian men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 11, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
