Live prediction market odds for Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliers. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-22
This market resolved on 2026-03-22. Tennessee was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 98%.
cbb-tenn-uva-2026-03-22 : Sports event: Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliers - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
TennesseeWINNER | 99% | 51% | 98% |
Virginia | 1% | 50% | 9% |
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliers was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Tennessee led the market at 83% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Virginia at 20%.
Tennessee held the lead at 83% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Tennessee, Virginia at 20% were the next closest contenders. The 48.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Tennessee: 99¢ on Kalshi, 51¢ on Polymarket, 98¢ on ProphetX. Virginia: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket, 9¢ on ProphetX. The 48.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 83¢ meant the market estimated a 83% chance that Tennessee would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 83¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 20% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Virginia wins the Tennessee at Virginia men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Tennessee at Virginia men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 22, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for March 22 at 12:00 PM ET: If the Tennessee Volunteers win, the market will resolve to "Tennessee Volunteers". If the Virginia Cavaliers win, the market will resolve to "Virginia Cavaliers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
Tennessee
82.6% avg
