Live prediction market odds for Texas Longhorns vs. Arkansas Razorbacks. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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Kalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
2026-03-04
cbb-tx-ark-2026-03-04 : Sports event: Texas Longhorns vs. Arkansas Razorbacks - cbb
Arkansas Razorbacks leads the “Texas Longhorns vs. Arkansas Razorbacks” event at 79.2% implied probability, followed by Texas Longhorns at 23.0%. A 19.6% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Texas Longhorns vs. Arkansas Razorbacks is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Arkansas Razorbacks leads at 79% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Texas Longhorns at 23%.
Arkansas Razorbacks currently leads at 79% implied probability. Behind Arkansas Razorbacks, Texas Longhorns at 23% are the next closest contenders. The 19.6% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Arkansas Razorbacks: 73¢ on Kalshi, 73¢ on Polymarket, 92¢ on ProphetX. Texas Longhorns: 27¢ on Kalshi, 28¢ on Polymarket, 14¢ on ProphetX. The 19.6% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 79¢ means the market estimates a 79% probability that Arkansas Razorbacks will be the outcome. Buying one share at 79¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 27% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Arkansas Razorbacks
79.2% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Texas wins the Texas at Arkansas men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Texas at Arkansas men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 4, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
