Live prediction market odds for Toledo Rockets vs. James Madison Dukes. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-02-07
This market resolved on 2026-02-07. James Madison was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
cbb-toledo-jmad-2026-02-07 : Sports event: Toledo Rockets vs. James Madison Dukes - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
James MadisonWINNER | 99% | 100% | 51% |
Toledo | 1% | 5% | 54% |
Toledo Rockets vs. James Madison Dukes was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). James Madison led the market at 83% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Toledo at 20%.
James Madison held the lead at 83% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind James Madison, Toledo at 20% were the next closest contenders. The 52.7% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: James Madison: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket, 51¢ on ProphetX. Toledo: 1¢ on Kalshi, 5¢ on Polymarket, 54¢ on ProphetX. The 52.7% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 83¢ meant the market estimated a 83% chance that James Madison would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 83¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 20% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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James Madison
83.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Toledo wins the Toledo at James Madison men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Toledo at James Madison men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 7, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
