Live prediction market odds for Toledo Rockets vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-03
This market resolved on 2026-03-03. Miami (OH) RedHawks was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 88%.
cbb-toledo-miaoh-2026-03-03 : Sports event: Toledo Rockets vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Miami (OH) RedHawksWINNER | — | 80% | 97% |
Toledo Rockets | 23% | 21% | 9% |
Toledo Rockets vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Miami (OH) RedHawks led the market at 88% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Toledo Rockets at 18%.
Miami (OH) RedHawks held the lead at 88% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Miami (OH) RedHawks, Toledo Rockets at 18% were the next closest contenders. The 17.8% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Miami (OH) RedHawks: 80¢ on Polymarket, 97¢ on ProphetX. Toledo Rockets: 23¢ on Kalshi, 21¢ on Polymarket, 9¢ on ProphetX. The 17.8% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 88¢ meant the market estimated a 88% chance that Miami (OH) RedHawks would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 88¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 14% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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Miami (OH) RedHawks
88.4% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Toledo wins the Toledo at Miami (OH) men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Toledo at Miami (OH) men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 3, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
