Live prediction market odds for Troy Trojans vs. Texas State Bobcats. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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Kalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
2026-02-11
cbb-troy-txst-2026-02-11 : Sports event: Troy Trojans vs. Texas State Bobcats - cbb
Troy Trojans leads the “Troy Trojans vs. Texas State Bobcats” event at 38.1% implied probability, followed by Texas St at 55.0%. A 61.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Troy Trojans vs. Texas State Bobcats is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Troy Trojans leads at 38% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Texas St at 55%.
Troy Trojans currently leads at 38% implied probability. Behind Troy Trojans, Texas St at 55% are the next closest contenders. The 61.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Troy Trojans: 66¢ on Polymarket, 11¢ on ProphetX. Texas St: 35¢ on Kalshi, 35¢ on Polymarket, 96¢ on ProphetX. The 61.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 38¢ means the market estimates a 38% probability that Troy Trojans will be the outcome. Buying one share at 38¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 163% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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Troy Trojans
38.1% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Texas St. wins the Troy at Texas St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Troy at Texas St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 11, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
