Live prediction market odds for UC Davis Aggies vs. California-San Diego Tritons. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-02-12
This market resolved on 2026-02-12. California-San Diego Tritons was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 84%.
cbb-ucdv-ucsd-2026-02-12 : Sports event: UC Davis Aggies vs. California-San Diego Tritons - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
California-San Diego TritonsWINNER | — | 70% | 98% |
UC Davis | 31% | 30% | 7% |
UC Davis Aggies vs. California-San Diego Tritons was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). California-San Diego Tritons led the market at 84% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include UC Davis at 23%.
California-San Diego Tritons held the lead at 84% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind California-San Diego Tritons, UC Davis at 23% were the next closest contenders. The 28.1% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: California-San Diego Tritons: 70¢ on Polymarket, 98¢ on ProphetX. UC Davis: 31¢ on Kalshi, 30¢ on Polymarket, 7¢ on ProphetX. The 28.1% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 84¢ meant the market estimated a 84% chance that California-San Diego Tritons would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 84¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 19% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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California-San Diego Tritons
84.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf UC Davis wins the UC Davis at UC San Diego men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the UC Davis at UC San Diego men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 12, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
