Live prediction market odds for UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. UC Davis Aggies. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-05
This market resolved on 2026-02-05. UC Davis was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 69%.
cbb-uscb-ucdv-2026-02-05 : Sports event: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. UC Davis Aggies - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
UC DavisWINNER | 99% | 40% |
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. UC Davis Aggies was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). UC Davis led the market at 69% implied probability before resolution.
UC Davis held the lead at 69% implied probability heading into resolution. The 59.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: UC Davis: 99¢ on Kalshi, 40¢ on Polymarket. The 59.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 69¢ meant the market estimated a 69% chance that UC Davis would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 69¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 45% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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UC Davis
69.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf UC Davis wins the UC Santa Barbara at UC Davis men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the UC Santa Barbara at UC Davis men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 5, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
