Live prediction market odds for UCF Knights vs. Houston Cougars. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-04
This market resolved on 2026-02-04. Houston was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 95%.
cbb-ucf-hou-2026-02-04 : Sports event: UCF Knights vs. Houston Cougars - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
HoustonWINNER | 99% | 92% |
UCF | 1% | 9% |
UCF Knights vs. Houston Cougars was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Houston led the market at 95% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include UCF at 5%.
Houston held the lead at 95% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Houston, UCF at 5% were the next closest contenders. The 7.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Houston: 99¢ on Kalshi, 92¢ on Polymarket. UCF: 1¢ on Kalshi, 9¢ on Polymarket. The 7.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 95¢ meant the market estimated a 95% chance that Houston would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 95¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 5% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Houston
95.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Houston wins the UCF at Houston men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the UCF at Houston men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 4, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
