Live prediction market odds for UCF Knights vs. West Virginia Mountaineers. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-06
This market resolved on 2026-03-06. West Virginia Mountaineers was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 64%.
cbb-ucf-wvir-2026-03-06 : Sports event: UCF Knights vs. West Virginia Mountaineers - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
West Virginia MountaineersWINNER | 64% | 64% | 96% |
UCF Knights | 37% | 37% | 9% |
UCF Knights vs. West Virginia Mountaineers was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). West Virginia Mountaineers led the market at 75% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include UCF Knights at 28%.
West Virginia Mountaineers held the lead at 75% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind West Virginia Mountaineers, UCF Knights at 28% were the next closest contenders. The 32.7% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: West Virginia Mountaineers: 64¢ on Kalshi, 64¢ on Polymarket, 96¢ on ProphetX. UCF Knights: 37¢ on Kalshi, 37¢ on Polymarket, 9¢ on ProphetX. The 32.7% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 75¢ meant the market estimated a 75% chance that West Virginia Mountaineers would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 75¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 33% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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West Virginia Mountaineers
74.6% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf West Virginia wins the UCF at West Virginia men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the UCF at West Virginia men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 6, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
