Live prediction market odds for UCLA Bruins vs. Michigan State Spartans. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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Kalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
2026-02-17
cbb-ucla-mst-2026-02-17 : Sports event: UCLA Bruins vs. Michigan State Spartans - cbb
Michigan State Spartans leads the “UCLA Bruins vs. Michigan State Spartans” event at 84.4% implied probability, followed by UCLA Bruins at 45.2%. A 70.6% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
UCLA Bruins vs. Michigan State Spartans is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Michigan State Spartans leads at 84% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include UCLA Bruins at 45%.
Michigan State Spartans currently leads at 84% implied probability. Behind Michigan State Spartans, UCLA Bruins at 45% are the next closest contenders. The 70.6% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Michigan State Spartans: 80¢ on Kalshi, 79¢ on Polymarket, 95¢ on ProphetX. UCLA Bruins: 22¢ on Kalshi, 22¢ on Polymarket, 92¢ on ProphetX. The 70.6% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 84¢ means the market estimates a 84% probability that Michigan State Spartans will be the outcome. Buying one share at 84¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 19% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Michigan State Spartans
84.4% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf UCLA wins the UCLA at Michigan St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the UCLA at Michigan St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 17, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
