Live prediction market odds for UIC Flames vs. California Golden Bears. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-18
This market resolved on 2026-03-18. California was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
cbb-uic-cal-2026-03-18 : Sports event: UIC Flames vs. California Golden Bears - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
CaliforniaWINNER | 99% | 71% | 99% |
UIC | 1% | 30% | 1% |
UIC Flames vs. California Golden Bears was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). California led the market at 90% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include UIC at 11%.
California held the lead at 90% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind California, UIC at 11% were the next closest contenders. The 28.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: California: 99¢ on Kalshi, 71¢ on Polymarket, 99¢ on ProphetX. UIC: 1¢ on Kalshi, 30¢ on Polymarket, 1¢ on ProphetX. The 28.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 90¢ meant the market estimated a 90% chance that California would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 90¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 11% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf California wins the UIC at California men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the UIC at California men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 18, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for March 18 at 11:00 PM ET: If the UIC Flames win, the market will resolve to "UIC Flames". If the California Golden Bears win, the market will resolve to "California Golden Bears". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
California
89.5% avg
