Live prediction market odds for UMBC Retrievers vs. Howard Bison. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-17
This market resolved on 2026-03-17. Howard was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 86%.
cbb-umbc-how-2026-03-17 : Sports event: UMBC Retrievers vs. Howard Bison - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
HowardWINNER | 99% | 49% | 86% |
UMBC | 1% | 51% | 21% |
UMBC Retrievers vs. Howard Bison was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Howard led the market at 78% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include UMBC at 24%.
Howard held the lead at 78% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Howard, UMBC at 24% were the next closest contenders. The 50.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Howard: 99¢ on Kalshi, 49¢ on Polymarket, 86¢ on ProphetX. UMBC: 1¢ on Kalshi, 51¢ on Polymarket, 21¢ on ProphetX. The 50.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 78¢ meant the market estimated a 78% chance that Howard would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 78¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 28% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Howard wins the UMBC at Howard men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the UMBC at Howard men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 17, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
Howard
78.0% avg
