Live prediction market odds for UMBC Retrievers vs. Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-02-28
This market resolved on 2026-02-28. UMBC Retrievers was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
cbb-umbc-maslow-2026-02-28 : Sports event: UMBC Retrievers vs. Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
UMBC RetrieversWINNER | 99% | 100% | 96% |
UMass Minutemen-Lowell River Hawks | — | 0% | 10% |
UMBC Retrievers vs. Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). UMBC Retrievers led the market at 98% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include UMass Minutemen-Lowell River Hawks at 5%.
UMBC Retrievers held the lead at 98% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind UMBC Retrievers, UMass Minutemen-Lowell River Hawks at 5% were the next closest contenders. The 10.1% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: UMBC Retrievers: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket, 96¢ on ProphetX. UMass Minutemen-Lowell River Hawks: 0¢ on Polymarket, 10¢ on ProphetX. The 10.1% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 98¢ meant the market estimated a 98% chance that UMBC Retrievers would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 98¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 2% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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UMBC Retrievers
98.2% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf UMBC wins the UMBC at UMass Lowell men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the UMBC at UMass Lowell men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 28, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
