Live prediction market odds for UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Fresno State Bulldogs. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-03
This market resolved on 2026-02-03. Fresno St was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 74%.
cbb-unlv-frest-2026-02-03 : Sports event: UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Fresno State Bulldogs - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Fresno StWINNER | 99% | 49% |
UNLV | 1% | 51% |
UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Fresno State Bulldogs was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Fresno St led the market at 74% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include UNLV at 26%.
Fresno St held the lead at 74% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Fresno St, UNLV at 26% were the next closest contenders. The 50.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Fresno St: 99¢ on Kalshi, 49¢ on Polymarket. UNLV: 1¢ on Kalshi, 51¢ on Polymarket. The 50.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 74¢ meant the market estimated a 74% chance that Fresno St would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 74¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 35% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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Fresno St
74.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf UNLV wins the UNLV at Fresno St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the UNLV at Fresno St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 3, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
