Live prediction market odds for Utah Valley Wolverines vs. UT Arlington Mavericks. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-02-21
This market resolved on 2026-02-21. Utah Valley Wolverines was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
cbb-utahv-txa-2026-02-21 : Sports event: Utah Valley Wolverines vs. UT Arlington Mavericks - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Utah Valley WolverinesWINNER | 99% | 100% | 94% |
UT Arlington Mavericks | — | 5% | 12% |
Utah Valley Wolverines vs. UT Arlington Mavericks was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Utah Valley Wolverines led the market at 98% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include UT Arlington Mavericks at 9%.
Utah Valley Wolverines held the lead at 98% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Utah Valley Wolverines, UT Arlington Mavericks at 9% were the next closest contenders. The 7.2% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Utah Valley Wolverines: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket, 94¢ on ProphetX. UT Arlington Mavericks: 5¢ on Polymarket, 12¢ on ProphetX. The 7.2% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 98¢ meant the market estimated a 98% chance that Utah Valley Wolverines would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 98¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 2% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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Utah Valley Wolverines
97.6% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Utah Valley wins the Utah Valley at UT Arlington men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Utah Valley at UT Arlington men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 21, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
