Live prediction market odds for UTSA Roadrunners vs. South Florida Bulls. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-04
This market resolved on 2026-02-04. South Florida was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
cbb-utsa-sfl-2026-02-04 : Sports event: UTSA Roadrunners vs. South Florida Bulls - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
South FloridaWINNER | 99% | 98% |
UTSA | 1% | 2% |
UTSA Roadrunners vs. South Florida Bulls was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). South Florida led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include UTSA at 1%.
South Florida held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind South Florida, UTSA at 1% were the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.7% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: South Florida: 99¢ on Kalshi, 98¢ on Polymarket. UTSA: 1¢ on Kalshi, 2¢ on Polymarket. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.7% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 99¢ meant the market estimated a 99% chance that South Florida would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 99¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 1% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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South Florida
98.7% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf South Florida wins the UTSA at South Florida men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the UTSA at South Florida men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 4, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
