Live prediction market odds for Valparaiso Beacons vs. Evansville Aces. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-02-28
This market resolved on 2026-02-28. Evansville Aces was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
cbb-valp-evans-2026-02-28 : Sports event: Valparaiso Beacons vs. Evansville Aces - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Evansville AcesWINNER | 99% | 100% | 19% |
Valparaiso Beacons | — | 5% | 87% |
Valparaiso Beacons vs. Evansville Aces was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Evansville Aces led the market at 73% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Valparaiso Beacons at 46%.
Evansville Aces held the lead at 73% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Evansville Aces, Valparaiso Beacons at 46% were the next closest contenders. The 82.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Evansville Aces: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket, 19¢ on ProphetX. Valparaiso Beacons: 5¢ on Polymarket, 87¢ on ProphetX. The 82.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 73¢ meant the market estimated a 73% chance that Evansville Aces would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 73¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 37% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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Evansville Aces
72.7% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Evansville wins the Valparaiso at Evansville men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Valparaiso at Evansville men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 28, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
