Live prediction market odds for Valparaiso Beacons vs. Illinois State Redbirds. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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Kalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
2026-02-12
cbb-valp-illst-2026-02-12 : Sports event: Valparaiso Beacons vs. Illinois State Redbirds - cbb
Illinois St leads the “Valparaiso Beacons vs. Illinois State Redbirds” event at 80.4% implied probability, followed by Valparaiso Beacons at 22.8%. A 6.7% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Valparaiso Beacons vs. Illinois State Redbirds is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Illinois St leads at 80% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Valparaiso Beacons at 23%.
Illinois St currently leads at 80% implied probability. Behind Illinois St, Valparaiso Beacons at 23% are the next closest contenders. The 6.7% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Illinois St: 81¢ on Kalshi, 81¢ on Polymarket, 80¢ on ProphetX. Valparaiso Beacons: 20¢ on Polymarket, 26¢ on ProphetX. The 6.7% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 80¢ means the market estimates a 80% probability that Illinois St will be the outcome. Buying one share at 80¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 25% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Illinois St
80.4% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Illinois St. wins the Valparaiso at Illinois St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Valparaiso at Illinois St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 12, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
