Live prediction market odds for Vermont Catamounts vs. Maine Black Bears. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-05
This market resolved on 2026-02-05. Maine was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 87%.
cbb-verm-maine-2026-02-05 : Sports event: Vermont Catamounts vs. Maine Black Bears - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
MaineWINNER | 99% | 76% |
Vermont | 1% | 25% |
Vermont Catamounts vs. Maine Black Bears was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Maine led the market at 87% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Vermont at 13%.
Maine held the lead at 87% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Maine, Vermont at 13% were the next closest contenders. The 23.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Maine: 99¢ on Kalshi, 76¢ on Polymarket. Vermont: 1¢ on Kalshi, 25¢ on Polymarket. The 23.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 87¢ meant the market estimated a 87% chance that Maine would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 87¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 15% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Maine
87.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Vermont wins the Vermont at Maine men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Vermont at Maine men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 5, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
