Live prediction market odds for Virginia Cavaliers vs. Florida State Seminoles. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-02-10
This market resolved on 2026-02-10. Virginia was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 77%.
cbb-vir-flst-2026-02-10 : Sports event: Virginia Cavaliers vs. Florida State Seminoles - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
VirginiaWINNER | 99% | 77% | 40% |
Florida St | 1% | 23% | 66% |
Virginia Cavaliers vs. Florida State Seminoles was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Virginia led the market at 72% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Florida St at 30%.
Virginia held the lead at 72% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Virginia, Florida St at 30% were the next closest contenders. The 65.2% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Virginia: 99¢ on Kalshi, 77¢ on Polymarket, 40¢ on ProphetX. Florida St: 1¢ on Kalshi, 23¢ on Polymarket, 66¢ on ProphetX. The 65.2% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 72¢ meant the market estimated a 72% chance that Virginia would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 72¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 39% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Virginia
72.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Florida St. wins the Virginia at Florida St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Virginia at Florida St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 10, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
