Live prediction market odds for Xavier Musketeers vs. Butler Bulldogs. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-02-21
This market resolved on 2026-02-21. Butler Bulldogs was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
cbb-xav-butl-2026-02-21 : Sports event: Xavier Musketeers vs. Butler Bulldogs - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Butler BulldogsWINNER | 99% | 100% | 67% |
Xavier Musketeers | 100% | 0% | 40% |
Xavier Musketeers vs. Butler Bulldogs was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Butler Bulldogs led the market at 89% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Xavier Musketeers at 47%.
Butler Bulldogs held the lead at 89% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Butler Bulldogs, Xavier Musketeers at 47% were the next closest contenders. The 100.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Butler Bulldogs: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket, 67¢ on ProphetX. Xavier Musketeers: 100¢ on Kalshi, 0¢ on Polymarket, 40¢ on ProphetX. The 100.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 89¢ meant the market estimated a 89% chance that Butler Bulldogs would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 89¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 12% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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Butler Bulldogs
88.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Xavier wins the Xavier at Butler men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Xavier at Butler men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 21, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
