Live prediction market odds for Xavier Musketeers vs. St. John's Red Storm. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-02-09
This market resolved on 2026-02-09. St. John's was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 87%.
cbb-xav-stjohn-2026-02-09 : Sports event: Xavier Musketeers vs. St. John's Red Storm - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
St. John'sWINNER | 99% | 87% | 71% |
Xavier | 1% | 14% | 31% |
Xavier Musketeers vs. St. John's Red Storm was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). St. John's led the market at 86% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Xavier at 15%.
St. John's held the lead at 86% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind St. John's, Xavier at 15% were the next closest contenders. The 30.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: St. John's: 99¢ on Kalshi, 87¢ on Polymarket, 71¢ on ProphetX. Xavier: 1¢ on Kalshi, 14¢ on Polymarket, 31¢ on ProphetX. The 30.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 86¢ meant the market estimated a 86% chance that St. John's would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 86¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 16% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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St. John's
85.6% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Xavier wins the Xavier at St. John's men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Xavier at St. John's men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 9, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
