Live prediction market odds for Youngstown State Penguins vs. Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-04
This market resolved on 2026-02-04. Youngstown St was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 71%.
cbb-yngst-ipfw-2026-02-04 : Sports event: Youngstown State Penguins vs. Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Youngstown StWINNER | 99% | 44% |
Purdue Fort Wayne | 1% | 57% |
Youngstown State Penguins vs. Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Youngstown St led the market at 71% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Purdue Fort Wayne at 29%.
Youngstown St held the lead at 71% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Youngstown St, Purdue Fort Wayne at 29% were the next closest contenders. The 55.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Youngstown St: 99¢ on Kalshi, 44¢ on Polymarket. Purdue Fort Wayne: 1¢ on Kalshi, 57¢ on Polymarket. The 55.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 71¢ meant the market estimated a 71% chance that Youngstown St would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 71¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 41% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Youngstown St
71.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Youngstown St. wins the Youngstown St. at Purdue Fort Wayne men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Youngstown St. at Purdue Fort Wayne men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 4, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
