Burnley leads the “Chelsea vs Burnley” event at 25.5% implied probability. Other contenders include Burnley FC (25.5%), Chelsea (25.5%), and Chelsea FC (25.5%). A 49.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
What is "Chelsea vs Burnley" and why does it matter?
Chelsea vs Burnley is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Burnley leads at 26% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Burnley FC at 26%, Chelsea at 26%, Chelsea FC at 26%.
What is moving the odds on "Chelsea vs Burnley"?
Burnley currently leads at 26% implied probability. Behind Burnley, Burnley FC at 26% and Chelsea at 26% and Chelsea FC at 26% are the next closest contenders. The 49.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
What are the current odds for "Chelsea vs Burnley" across platforms?
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Burnley: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Burnley FC: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Chelsea: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Chelsea FC: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 49.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
What does it mean that Burnley is at 26%?
A price of 26¢ means the market estimates a 26% probability that Burnley will be the outcome. Buying one share at 26¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 285% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
Kalshi
Primary Rule
If Chelsea wins the Chelsea vs Burnley professional EPL soccer game originally scheduled for Feb 21, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Edge Cases
The following market refers to the Chelsea vs Burnley professional EPL soccer game originally scheduled for Feb 21, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.