Cincinnati Bearcats Wins: Cincinnati vs UAB

Cincinnati vs UAB was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Cincinnati Bearcats led the market at 57% implied probability before resolution.

Cincinnati Bearcats held the lead at 57% implied probability heading into resolution. The 85.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Cincinnati Bearcats: 99¢ on Kalshi, 14¢ on Polymarket. The 85.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

A price of 57¢ meant the market estimated a 57% chance that Cincinnati Bearcats would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 57¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 75% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.