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Live prediction market odds for Dortmund vs Mainz. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Live prediction market odds for Dortmund vs Mainz. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-13
This market resolved on 2026-02-13. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
BV Borussia 09 DortmundWINNER | 99% | 100% |
1. FSV Mainz 05 | 1% | 50% |
Dortmund vs Mainz was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). BV Borussia 09 Dortmund led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include 1. FSV Mainz 05 at 26%.
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind BV Borussia 09 Dortmund, 1. FSV Mainz 05 at 26% were the next closest contenders. The 49.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. 1. FSV Mainz 05: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 49.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 100¢ meant the market estimated a 100% chance that BV Borussia 09 Dortmund would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 100¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 0% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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BV Borussia 09 Dortmund
99.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Dortmund wins the Dortmund vs Mainz professional Bundesliga soccer game originally scheduled for Feb 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Dortmund vs Mainz professional Bundesliga soccer game originally scheduled for Feb 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.