Live prediction market odds for EFL Carabao Cup Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-03-23
This market resolved on 2026-03-23. Manchester City was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the EFL Carabao Cup Winner. This tournament is crucial for clubs seeking silverware and can significantly impact team morale and fan engagement.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Manchester CityWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Arsenal | 1% | 50% |
The EFL Carabao Cup is a knockout football competition in England, featuring teams from the top four tiers of English football. It provides clubs with an opportunity to win a prestigious trophy and qualify for European competitions.
The tournament consists of several rounds, starting with a first round for lower league teams, followed by knockout stages. Teams compete in single-elimination matches until the final, where the winner is crowned.
Odds are influenced by team performance, injuries, historical success in the tournament, and match-day conditions. Betting markets react to real-time developments, such as player transfers and managerial changes.
EFL Carabao Cup Winner was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Manchester City led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Arsenal at 26%.
Manchester City held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Manchester City, Arsenal at 26% were the next closest contenders. The 49.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Arsenal wins the 2026 EFL Carabao Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Manchester City
99.5% avg
