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Live prediction market odds for Game of the Year 2025?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Live prediction market odds for Game of the Year 2025?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Join our Discord for breaking news alerts, driven by real-time movements in prediction markets.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-31
This market resolved on 2025-12-31. Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Clair Obscur: Expedition 33WINNER | 99% | 100% |
Blue Prince | 1% | 50% |
Borderlands 4 | 1% | 50% |
Call of Duty: Black Ops 7 | 1% | 50% |
Death Stranding 2: On The Beach | 1% | 50% |
Donkey Kong Bananza | 1% | 50% |
Doom: The Dark Ages | 1% | 50% |
Elden Ring: Nightreign | 1% | 50% |
Ghost of Yotei | 1% | 50% |
Grand Theft Auto VI | 1% | 50% |
Hades II | 1% | 50% |
Hollow Knight: Silksong | 1% | 50% |
Kingdom Come: Deliverance II | 1% | 50% |
Mafia: The Old Country | 1% | 50% |
Mario Kart World | 1% | 50% |
Metroid Prime 4: Beyond | 1% | 50% |
Monster Hunter Wilds | 1% | 50% |
Split Fiction | 1% | 50% |
The Outer Worlds 2 | 1% | 50% |
Game of the Year 2025 was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Blue Prince at 26%, Borderlands 4 at 26%, Call of Duty: Black Ops 7 at 26%.
Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Clair Obscur: Expedition 33, Blue Prince at 26% and Borderlands 4 at 26% and Call of Duty: Black Ops 7 at 26% were the next closest contenders. The 49.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Clair Obscur: Expedition 33: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Blue Prince: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Borderlands 4: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Call of Duty: Black Ops 7: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 49.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 100¢ meant the market estimated a 100% chance that Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 100¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 0% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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Clair Obscur: Expedition 33
99.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 has won Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.