Live prediction market odds for Grammys: Best Alternative Music Album Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-02-01
DON'T TAP THE GLASS - Tyler, The Creator leads the “Grammys: Best Alternative Music Album Winner” event at 26.0% implied probability. Other contenders include Ego Death At A Bachelorette Party - Hayley Williams (25.5%), moisturizer - Wet Leg (25.5%), and SABLE, fABLE - Bon Iver (25.5%). A 49.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Grammys: Best Alternative Music Album Winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). DON'T TAP THE GLASS - Tyler, The Creator leads at 26% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Ego Death At A Bachelorette Party - Hayley Williams at 26%, moisturizer - Wet Leg at 26%, SABLE, fABLE - Bon Iver at 26%.
DON'T TAP THE GLASS - Tyler, The Creator currently leads at 26% implied probability. Behind DON'T TAP THE GLASS - Tyler, The Creator, Ego Death At A Bachelorette Party - Hayley Williams at 26% and moisturizer - Wet Leg at 26% and SABLE, fABLE - Bon Iver at 26% are the next closest contenders. The 49.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: DON'T TAP THE GLASS - Tyler, The Creator: 2¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Ego Death At A Bachelorette Party - Hayley Williams: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. moisturizer - Wet Leg: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. SABLE, fABLE - Bon Iver: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 49.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 26¢ means the market estimates a 26% probability that DON'T TAP THE GLASS - Tyler, The Creator will be the outcome. Buying one share at 26¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 285% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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DON'T TAP THE GLASS - Tyler, The Creator
26.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf SABLE, fABLE has won Best Alternative Music Album at the 68th Annual Grammy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
**This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Recording Academy. Any references to the Recording Academy, the GRAMMY Awards, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between the Recording Academy and Kalshi.**
