Live prediction market odds for Grammys: Best Americana Album Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-01
This market resolved on 2026-02-01. BIG MONEY - Jon Batiste was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
BIG MONEY - Jon BatisteWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Bloom - Larkin Poe | 2% | 50% |
Last Leaf On The Tree - Willie Nelson | 2% | 50% |
Middle - Jesse Welles | 1% | 50% |
So Long Little Miss Sunshine - Molly Tuttle | 1% | 50% |
Grammys: Best Americana Album Winner was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). BIG MONEY - Jon Batiste led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Bloom - Larkin Poe at 26%, Last Leaf On The Tree - Willie Nelson at 26%, Middle - Jesse Welles at 26%.
BIG MONEY - Jon Batiste held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind BIG MONEY - Jon Batiste, Bloom - Larkin Poe at 26% and Last Leaf On The Tree - Willie Nelson at 26% and Middle - Jesse Welles at 26% were the next closest contenders. The 49.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: BIG MONEY - Jon Batiste: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Bloom - Larkin Poe: 2¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Last Leaf On The Tree - Willie Nelson: 2¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Middle - Jesse Welles: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 49.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 100¢ meant the market estimated a 100% chance that BIG MONEY - Jon Batiste would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 100¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 0% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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BIG MONEY - Jon Batiste
99.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Last Leaf On The Tree has won Best Americana Album at the 68th Annual Grammy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
**This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Recording Academy. Any references to the Recording Academy, the GRAMMY Awards, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between the Recording Academy and Kalshi.**
