Live prediction market odds for Grammys: Best Choral Performance Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-01
This market resolved on 2026-02-01. Ortiz: Yanga - Gustavo Dudamel, Los Angeles Philharmonic was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 50%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Ortiz: Yanga - Gustavo Dudamel, Los Angeles PhilharmonicWINNER | 0% | 100% |
Advena - Liturgies For A Broken World - Craig Hella Johnson, Conspirare | 1% | 50% |
Childs: In The Arms Of The Beloved - Grant Gershon, Los Angeles Master Chorale | 1% | 50% |
Requiem Of Light - Steven Fox, The Clarion Choir | 1% | 50% |
Lang: Poor Hymnal - Donald Nally, The Crossing | 0% | 50% |
Grammys: Best Choral Performance Winner was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Ortiz: Yanga - Gustavo Dudamel, Los Angeles Philharmonic led the market at 50% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Advena - Liturgies For A Broken World - Craig Hella Johnson, Conspirare at 26%, Childs: In The Arms Of The Beloved - Grant Gershon, Los Angeles Master Chorale at 26%, Requiem Of Light - Steven Fox, The Clarion Choir at 26%.
Ortiz: Yanga - Gustavo Dudamel, Los Angeles Philharmonic held the lead at 50% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Ortiz: Yanga - Gustavo Dudamel, Los Angeles Philharmonic, Advena - Liturgies For A Broken World - Craig Hella Johnson, Conspirare at 26% and Childs: In The Arms Of The Beloved - Grant Gershon, Los Angeles Master Chorale at 26% and Requiem Of Light - Steven Fox, The Clarion Choir at 26% were the next closest contenders. The 100.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Ortiz: Yanga - Gustavo Dudamel, Los Angeles Philharmonic: 0¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Advena - Liturgies For A Broken World - Craig Hella Johnson, Conspirare: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Childs: In The Arms Of The Beloved - Grant Gershon, Los Angeles Master Chorale: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Requiem Of Light - Steven Fox, The Clarion Choir: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 100.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 50¢ meant the market estimated a 50% chance that Ortiz: Yanga - Gustavo Dudamel, Los Angeles Philharmonic would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 50¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 100% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Ortiz: Yanga - Gustavo Dudamel, Los Angeles Philharmonic
50.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Childs: In The Arms Of The Beloved has won Best Choral Performance at the 68th Annual Grammy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
**This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Recording Academy. Any references to the Recording Academy, the GRAMMY Awards, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between the Recording Academy and Kalshi.**
