Live prediction market odds for Grammys: Best Contemporary Classical Composition Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-01
This market resolved on 2026-02-01. Ortiz: Dzonot - Gabriela Ortiz was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Ortiz: Dzonot - Gabriela OrtizWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Cerrone: Don't Look Down - Christopher Cerrone | 4% | 50% |
Dennehy: Land Of Winter - Donnacha Dennehy | 1% | 50% |
León: Raíces — Origins - Tania León | 1% | 50% |
Okpebholo: Songs In Flight - Shawn E. Okpebholo | 1% | 50% |
Grammys: Best Contemporary Classical Composition Winner was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Ortiz: Dzonot - Gabriela Ortiz led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Cerrone: Don't Look Down - Christopher Cerrone at 27%, Dennehy: Land Of Winter - Donnacha Dennehy at 26%, León: Raíces — Origins - Tania León at 26%.
Ortiz: Dzonot - Gabriela Ortiz held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Ortiz: Dzonot - Gabriela Ortiz, Cerrone: Don't Look Down - Christopher Cerrone at 27% and Dennehy: Land Of Winter - Donnacha Dennehy at 26% and León: Raíces — Origins - Tania León at 26% were the next closest contenders. The 49.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Ortiz: Dzonot - Gabriela Ortiz: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Cerrone: Don't Look Down - Christopher Cerrone: 4¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Dennehy: Land Of Winter - Donnacha Dennehy: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. León: Raíces — Origins - Tania León: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 49.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 100¢ meant the market estimated a 100% chance that Ortiz: Dzonot - Gabriela Ortiz would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 100¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 0% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Ortiz: Dzonot - Gabriela Ortiz
99.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Cerrone: Don't Look Down has won Best Contemporary Classical Composition at the 68th Annual Grammy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
**This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Recording Academy. Any references to the Recording Academy, the GRAMMY Awards, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between the Recording Academy and Kalshi.**
