Live prediction market odds for Grammys: Best Historical Album Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-01
This market resolved on 2026-02-01. Joni Mitchell Archives - Volume 4: The Asylum Years — 1976-1980 - Joni Mitchell was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Joni Mitchell Archives - Volume 4: The Asylum Years — 1976-1980 - Joni MitchellWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Roots Rocking Zimbabwe - The Modern Sound Of Harare' Townships 1975-1980 - Various Artists | 1% | 50% |
Super Disco Pirata - De Tepito Para El Mundo 1965-1980 - Various Artists | 1% | 50% |
You Can't Hip A Square: The Doc Pomus Songwriting Demos - Doc Pomus | 1% | 50% |
Grammys: Best Historical Album Winner was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Joni Mitchell Archives - Volume 4: The Asylum Years — 1976-1980 - Joni Mitchell led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Roots Rocking Zimbabwe - The Modern Sound Of Harare' Townships 1975-1980 - Various Artists at 26%, Super Disco Pirata - De Tepito Para El Mundo 1965-1980 - Various Artists at 26%, You Can't Hip A Square: The Doc Pomus Songwriting Demos - Doc Pomus at 26%.
Joni Mitchell Archives - Volume 4: The Asylum Years — 1976-1980 - Joni Mitchell held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Joni Mitchell Archives - Volume 4: The Asylum Years — 1976-1980 - Joni Mitchell, Roots Rocking Zimbabwe - The Modern Sound Of Harare' Townships 1975-1980 - Various Artists at 26% and Super Disco Pirata - De Tepito Para El Mundo 1965-1980 - Various Artists at 26% and You Can't Hip A Square: The Doc Pomus Songwriting Demos - Doc Pomus at 26% were the next closest contenders. The 49.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Joni Mitchell Archives - Volume 4: The Asylum Years — 1976-1980 - Joni Mitchell: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Roots Rocking Zimbabwe - The Modern Sound Of Harare' Townships 1975-1980 - Various Artists: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Super Disco Pirata - De Tepito Para El Mundo 1965-1980 - Various Artists: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. You Can't Hip A Square: The Doc Pomus Songwriting Demos - Doc Pomus: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 49.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 100¢ meant the market estimated a 100% chance that Joni Mitchell Archives - Volume 4: The Asylum Years — 1976-1980 - Joni Mitchell would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 100¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 0% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Joni Mitchell Archives - Volume 4: The Asylum Years — 1976-1980 - Joni Mitchell
99.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Joni Mitchell Archives - Volume 4: The Asylum Years (1976-1980) has won Best Historical Album at the 68th Annual Grammy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
**This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Recording Academy. Any references to the Recording Academy, the GRAMMY Awards, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between the Recording Academy and Kalshi.**
