Live prediction market odds for Grammys: Best Jazz Instrumental Album Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-01
This market resolved on 2026-02-01. Southern Nights - Sullivan Fortner Featuring Peter Washington & Marcus Gilmore was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Southern Nights - Sullivan Fortner Featuring Peter Washington & Marcus GilmoreWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Spirit Fall - John Patitucci Featuring Chris Potter & Brian Blade | 9% | 50% |
Belonging - Branford Marsalis Quartet | 1% | 50% |
Fasten Up - Yellowjackets | 1% | 50% |
Trilogy 3 — Live - Chick Corea, Christian McBride & Brian Blade | 1% | 50% |
Grammys: Best Jazz Instrumental Album Winner was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Southern Nights - Sullivan Fortner Featuring Peter Washington & Marcus Gilmore led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Spirit Fall - John Patitucci Featuring Chris Potter & Brian Blade at 30%, Belonging - Branford Marsalis Quartet at 26%, Fasten Up - Yellowjackets at 26%.
Southern Nights - Sullivan Fortner Featuring Peter Washington & Marcus Gilmore held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Southern Nights - Sullivan Fortner Featuring Peter Washington & Marcus Gilmore, Spirit Fall - John Patitucci Featuring Chris Potter & Brian Blade at 30% and Belonging - Branford Marsalis Quartet at 26% and Fasten Up - Yellowjackets at 26% were the next closest contenders. The 49.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Southern Nights - Sullivan Fortner Featuring Peter Washington & Marcus Gilmore: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Spirit Fall - John Patitucci Featuring Chris Potter & Brian Blade: 9¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Belonging - Branford Marsalis Quartet: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Fasten Up - Yellowjackets: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 49.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 100¢ meant the market estimated a 100% chance that Southern Nights - Sullivan Fortner Featuring Peter Washington & Marcus Gilmore would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 100¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 0% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Southern Nights - Sullivan Fortner Featuring Peter Washington & Marcus Gilmore
99.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Southern Nights has won Best Jazz Instrumental Album at the 68th Annual Grammy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
**This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Recording Academy. Any references to the Recording Academy, the GRAMMY Awards, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between the Recording Academy and Kalshi.**
