Live prediction market odds for Grammys: Best Metal Performance Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-01
This market resolved on 2026-02-01. BIRDS - Turnstile was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
BIRDS - TurnstileWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Soft Spine - Spiritbox | 6% | 50% |
Lachryma - Ghost | 1% | 50% |
Grammys: Best Metal Performance Winner was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). BIRDS - Turnstile led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Soft Spine - Spiritbox at 28%, Lachryma - Ghost at 26%.
BIRDS - Turnstile held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind BIRDS - Turnstile, Soft Spine - Spiritbox at 28% and Lachryma - Ghost at 26% were the next closest contenders. The 49.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: BIRDS - Turnstile: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Soft Spine - Spiritbox: 6¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Lachryma - Ghost: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 49.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 100¢ meant the market estimated a 100% chance that BIRDS - Turnstile would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 100¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 0% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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BIRDS - Turnstile
99.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Soft Spine has won Best Metal Performance at the 68th Annual Grammy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
**This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Recording Academy. Any references to the Recording Academy, the GRAMMY Awards, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between the Recording Academy and Kalshi.**
