Live prediction market odds for Grammys: Best R&B Performance Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-01
This market resolved on 2026-02-01. Folded - Kehlani was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Folded - KehlaniWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Heart Of A Woman - Summer Walker | 1% | 50% |
MUTT — Live From NPR's Tiny Desk - Leon Thomas | 1% | 50% |
YUKON - Justin Bieber | 1% | 50% |
Grammys: Best R&B Performance Winner was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Folded - Kehlani led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Heart Of A Woman - Summer Walker at 26%, MUTT — Live From NPR's Tiny Desk - Leon Thomas at 26%, YUKON - Justin Bieber at 26%.
Folded - Kehlani held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Folded - Kehlani, Heart Of A Woman - Summer Walker at 26% and MUTT — Live From NPR's Tiny Desk - Leon Thomas at 26% and YUKON - Justin Bieber at 26% were the next closest contenders. The 49.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Folded - Kehlani: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Heart Of A Woman - Summer Walker: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. MUTT — Live From NPR's Tiny Desk - Leon Thomas: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. YUKON - Justin Bieber: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 49.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 100¢ meant the market estimated a 100% chance that Folded - Kehlani would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 100¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 0% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Folded - Kehlani
99.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Folded has won Best R&B Performance at the 68th Annual Grammy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
**This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Recording Academy. Any references to the Recording Academy, the GRAMMY Awards, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between the Recording Academy and Kalshi.**
