Live prediction market odds for Grammys: Best Score Soundtrack for Video Games and Other Interactive Media Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-01
This market resolved on 2026-02-01. Sword of the Sea - Austin Wintory was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Sword of the Sea - Austin WintoryWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Helldivers 2 - Wilbert Roget, II | 1% | 50% |
Indiana Jones And The Great Circle - Gordy Haab | 1% | 50% |
Star Wars Outlaws: Wild Card & A Pirate's Fortune - Cody Matthew Johnson & Wilbert Roget, II | 1% | 50% |
Tie | 1% | 50% |
Grammys: Best Score Soundtrack for Video Games and Other Interactive Media Winner was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Sword of the Sea - Austin Wintory led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Helldivers 2 - Wilbert Roget, II at 26%, Indiana Jones And The Great Circle - Gordy Haab at 26%, Star Wars Outlaws: Wild Card & A Pirate's Fortune - Cody Matthew Johnson & Wilbert Roget, II at 26%.
Sword of the Sea - Austin Wintory held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Sword of the Sea - Austin Wintory, Helldivers 2 - Wilbert Roget, II at 26% and Indiana Jones And The Great Circle - Gordy Haab at 26% and Star Wars Outlaws: Wild Card & A Pirate's Fortune - Cody Matthew Johnson & Wilbert Roget, II at 26% were the next closest contenders. The 49.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Sword of the Sea - Austin Wintory: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Helldivers 2 - Wilbert Roget, II: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Indiana Jones And The Great Circle - Gordy Haab: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Star Wars Outlaws: Wild Card & A Pirate's Fortune - Cody Matthew Johnson & Wilbert Roget, II: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 49.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 100¢ meant the market estimated a 100% chance that Sword of the Sea - Austin Wintory would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 100¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 0% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Sword of the Sea - Austin Wintory
99.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Indiana Jones And The Great Circle has won Best Score Soundtrack for Video Games and Other Interactive Media at the 68th Annual Grammy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
**This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Recording Academy. Any references to the Recording Academy, the GRAMMY Awards, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between the Recording Academy and Kalshi.**
