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Live prediction market odds for Idaho Governor Election Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

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Idaho Governor Election Winner

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Brad Little (R)96¢1.04xPolymarket USTerri Pickens (D)2¢50.00xPolymarket US

About This Market

Traders give Brad Little (R) about a 97.0% chance. Terri Pickens (D) follows at 2.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.7 percentage points.

Traders give Brad Little (R) about a 97.0% chance. Terri Pickens (D) follows at 2.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.7 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Idaho Governor Election Winner set for November 3, 2026. This election is pivotal as it could shift the balance of power in state governance and influence local policy directions.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
BL
Brad Little (R)
97%
Kalshi99¢
Polymarket US96¢
Polymarket98¢
Polymarket US1.04x96¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
97.6%96¢99¢1¢4¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
96.0%95¢96¢4¢5¢
PolymarketPolymarket
97.3%96¢98¢2¢4¢
TP
Terri Pickens (D)
2%
Kalshi4¢
Polymarket US2¢
Polymarket4¢
Polymarket US50.00x2¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
2.3%1¢4¢97¢99¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
1.0%1¢2¢98¢99¢
PolymarketPolymarket
2.7%2¢4¢97¢98¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarket

Candidate Spotlight

About Brad Little (R)

Brad Little is the current Governor of Idaho, serving his second term since January 7, 2023. He previously served as Idaho's Lieutenant Governor from 2009 to 2019. As governor, he has focused on education funding, tax relief, and economic development.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
US State Governments
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread1.7%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Brad Little (R)

97.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Idaho Governor Election Winner

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of Idaho pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
US State Governments
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Idaho. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the Idaho Governor Election?

Key factors include candidate popularity, party affiliation, and recent polling data. Additionally, local issues and voter turnout can significantly impact the election outcome.

How do prediction markets work for elections?

Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of election outcomes. Prices reflect the collective beliefs of market participants about the likelihood of various candidates winning.

When will the results of the Idaho Governor Election be announced?

Results are typically announced on election night, November 3, 2026. However, final certified results may take days or weeks to be confirmed, depending on the counting process and any potential challenges.

What does the Idaho Governor Election Winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Idaho Governor Election Winner odds?

The latest available prices are Brad Little (R): 97.6¢ on Kalshi, 97.3¢ on Polymarket, 96.0¢ on Polymarket US; Terri Pickens (D): 2.3¢ on Kalshi, 2.7¢ on Polymarket, 1.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Pickens Falls to 4% in Idaho Governor Race as Stegner Becomes Real ThreatPrediction markets collapsed Terri Pickens 48 points in three days. Idaho hasn't elected a Democratic governor since 1990, and Stegner holds the fundraising lead.Jul 19, 2026Can Terri Pickens End 32 Years of GOP Rule in Idaho?Prediction markets now price Pickens as Idaho's most likely governor, driven by John Stegner's independent bid splitting the Republican vote.Jul 16, 2026