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Live prediction market odds for India vs Netherlands. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-18
This market resolved on 2026-02-18. India was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 75%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|
IndiaWINNER | 99% | 50% |
Netherlands | 1% | 50% |
India vs Netherlands was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). India led the market at 75% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Netherlands at 26%.
India held the lead at 75% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind India, Netherlands at 26% were the next closest contenders. The 49.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: India: 99¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Netherlands: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 49.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 75¢ meant the market estimated a 75% chance that India would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 75¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 33% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf India is the winner of the India vs Netherlands professional Men's T20 World Cup Cricket match originally scheduled for Feb 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
India
74.5% avg