Live prediction market odds for Indian Wells Women's Singles Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-03-15
This market resolved on 2026-03-15. Aryna Sabalenka was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Indian Wells Women's Singles Winner event. This tournament serves as a key indicator for player performance ahead of major championships, influencing rankings and future matchups.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Aryna SabalenkaWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Elena Rybakina | 1% | 50% |
Elina Svitolina | 1% | 50% |
Iga Świątek | 1% | 50% |
Jessica Pegula | 1% | 50% |
Victoria Mboko | 1% | 50% |
The Indian Wells tournament is one of the most prestigious events in women's tennis, often referred to as the 'fifth Grand Slam.' Winning here can boost a player's confidence and ranking significantly.
Player performances in earlier rounds and recent tournaments directly influence the odds, as bettors assess form and fitness. Injuries or upsets can also lead to rapid changes in market sentiment.
Factors include recent match results, head-to-head statistics, surface preference, and player fitness levels. Additionally, external conditions like weather can impact performance during the tournament.
Indian Wells Women's Singles Winner was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Aryna Sabalenka led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Elena Rybakina at 26%, Elina Svitolina at 26%, Iga Świątek at 26%.
Aryna Sabalenka held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Aryna Sabalenka, Elena Rybakina at 26% and Elina Svitolina at 26% and Iga Świątek at 26% were the next closest contenders. The 49.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Iga Swiatek wins the 2026 BNP Paribas Open Women's Singles Championship at Indian Wells professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the 2026 BNP Paribas Open Women's Singles Championship at Indian Wells professional tennis tournament. If the participant forfeits, withdraws from consideration, or takes any official action that removes them from being able to win the 2026 BNP Paribas Open Women's Singles Championship at Indian Wells professional tennis tournament, the market will resolve “No” for that participant.
PolymarketThis market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 BNP Paribas Open Women’s Singles Tournament scheduled for March 1 - March 15, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 BNP Paribas Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 BNP Paribas Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the BNP Paribas Open (https://bnpparibasopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Aryna Sabalenka
99.5% avg
