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Live prediction market odds for Iowa Governor Election Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and Predict.fun.

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Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / Predict.fun

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Iowa Governor Election Winner

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Rob Sand (D)85¢1.18xKalshiZach Lahn (R)15¢6.67xPolymarket US

About This Market

Traders give Rob Sand (D) about a 85.2% chance. Zach Lahn (R) follows at 14.2%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 3.5 percentage points.

Traders give Rob Sand (D) about a 85.2% chance. Zach Lahn (R) follows at 14.2%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 3.5 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Iowa Governor Election Winner for the upcoming election on November 3, 2026. This election is pivotal as it could influence state policies and party dynamics leading into the 2028 presidential race.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

4 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
Predict.fun
Best price
RS
Rob Sand (D)ARB
85%
Kalshi85¢
Polymarket US85¢
Polymarket88¢
Predict.fun90¢
Kalshi1.18x85¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
84.0%84¢85¢15¢16¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
84.0%84¢85¢15¢16¢
PolymarketPolymarket
87.5%87¢88¢12¢13¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
87.5%85¢90¢10¢15¢
ZL
Zach Lahn (R)ARB
14%
Kalshi16¢
Polymarket US15¢
Polymarket13¢
—
Polymarket US6.67x15¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
15.5%15¢16¢84¢85¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
15.0%14¢15¢85¢86¢
PolymarketPolymarket
12.0%12¢13¢87¢88¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarketPredict.funPredict.fun

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Rob Sand (D)

Rob Sand is the current State Auditor of Iowa, serving since 2019. Before this, he was the Assistant Attorney General of Iowa from 2010 to 2017. He is recognized for his work in public corruption prosecution and for creating the Public Innovations and Efficiencies (PIE) program to promote government efficiency.

Prediction Market Track Record

Iowa Democratic Governor nominee?WONPre-event: 98%

About Zach Lahn (R)

Zach Lahn is a Republican candidate for Iowa governor in the 2026 election. He won the GOP primary in June 2026, defeating U.S. Representative Randy Feenstra. Lahn's background as a farmer and businessman positions him as a political newcomer with a focus on agricultural and economic issues.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
US State Governments
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread3.5%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Leader

Rob Sand (D)

85.2% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Iowa Governor Election Winner

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and Predict.fun.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Iowa pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
US State Governments
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

If the Democratic Party nominee wins the 2026 election for Governor of Iowa, this market will settle to Yes. Outcome verified from relevant government authorities.

Predict.funPredict.fun
Primary Rule

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the Iowa Governor Election Winner?

Polling data, candidate endorsements, and campaign strategies significantly impact the odds. Additionally, voter turnout and key issues in Iowa can sway predictions.

When is the Iowa Governor Election scheduled?

The Iowa Governor Election is set for November 3, 2026. This timing aligns with the general election cycle in the United States.

How do prediction markets work for elections?

Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of election outcomes. Prices reflect the collective sentiment and probabilities assigned to each candidate's chances of winning.

What does the Iowa Governor Election Winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, Predict.fun in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Iowa Governor Election Winner odds?

The latest available prices are Rob Sand (D): 84.0¢ on Kalshi, 87.5¢ on Polymarket, 84.0¢ on Polymarket US, 87.5¢ on Predict.fun; Zach Lahn (R): 15.5¢ on Kalshi, 12.0¢ on Polymarket, 15.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Historical Track Record

Scroll to view past markets

Iowa Democratic Governor nominee?

Resolved

2026-06-02

WONRob Sand (D)
Pre-event: 98%
Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds

Prediction HuntPrediction.com coverage

Democrats Favored at 66% to Win Iowa Governor Race in 2026Rob Sand holds a $10M cash edge and 66% implied odds — 9 points above last week's floor — after Cook moved Iowa to toss-up.Apr 13, 2026