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Live prediction market odds for Kansas Governor winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and PredictIt and Predict.fun.

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Kansas Governor winner?

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Ty Masterson (R)74¢1.35xKalshiCindy Holscher (D)27¢3.70xKalshi

About This Market

Traders give Ty Masterson (R) about a 73.5% chance. Cindy Holscher (D) follows at 26.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt, and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 3.0 percentage points.

Traders give Ty Masterson (R) about a 73.5% chance. Cindy Holscher (D) follows at 26.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt, and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 3.0 percentage points.

Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt are tracking the Kansas Governor race for the upcoming election on November 3, 2026. The outcome will influence state policies and party dynamics, making it a focal point in local and national politics.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

4 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
Kalshi
Polymarket
PredictIt
Predict.fun
Best price
TM
Ty Masterson (R)
74%
Kalshi74¢
Polymarket74¢
PredictIt74¢
Predict.fun75¢
Kalshi1.35x74¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
73.5%73¢74¢26¢27¢
PolymarketPolymarket
73.5%73¢74¢26¢27¢
PredictItPredictIt
73.0%73¢74¢26¢27¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
73.5%72¢75¢25¢28¢
CH
Cindy Holscher (D)
27%
Kalshi27¢
Polymarket28¢
PredictIt29¢
Predict.fun29¢
Kalshi3.70x27¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
26.0%26¢27¢73¢74¢
PolymarketPolymarket
27.0%27¢28¢72¢73¢
PredictItPredictIt
29.0%26¢29¢71¢74¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
27.0%25¢29¢71¢75¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarketPolymarketPredictItPredictItPredict.funPredict.fun

Candidate Spotlight

About Ty Masterson (R)

Ty Masterson is the President of the Kansas Senate, representing the 16th district since 2009. He previously served as a State Representative from 2005 to 2008. Masterson is a candidate for the Republican nomination in the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election.

About Cindy Holscher (D)

Cindy Holscher is the current State Senator for Kansas's 8th district, representing Johnson County. She previously served in the Kansas House of Representatives from 2017 to 2020. Holscher is a candidate in the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election.

Smart Trade Router

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¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
US State Governments
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread3.0%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Leader

Ty Masterson (R)

73.5% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Kansas Governor winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Predict.fun.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of Kansas pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
US State Governments
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Predict.funPredict.fun
Primary Rule

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the Kansas Governor race odds?

Polling data, candidate popularity, and campaign funding play crucial roles in shaping the odds. Additionally, voter sentiment and key issues in the state can sway predictions.

How often do the odds change for this event?

Odds can fluctuate frequently as new information emerges, such as debates, endorsements, or shifts in public opinion. Market reactions to significant events can lead to rapid changes in predictions.

What is at stake in the Kansas Governor election?

The Kansas Governor election will determine the state's leadership and direction on key issues like education, healthcare, and economic policy. The results could also impact the balance of power in state government.

What does the Kansas Governor winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt, Predict.fun in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Kansas Governor winner odds?

The latest available prices are Ty Masterson (R): 73.5¢ on Kalshi, 73.5¢ on Polymarket, 73.0¢ on PredictIt, 73.5¢ on Predict.fun; Cindy Holscher (D): 26.0¢ on Kalshi, 27.0¢ on Polymarket, 29.0¢ on PredictIt, 27.0¢ on Predict.fun. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds

Prediction HuntPrediction.com coverage

Masterson Hits 70% in Kansas Governor Markets Despite Tied PollMarkets jumped 11 points in three days after a State Fair debate on data centers. The last public poll, taken before the debate, had Holscher up 47-46.Sep 19, 2026Data Center Debate Cuts Masterson's Kansas Governor Lead by 9 PointsRepublican odds fell from 68% to 59% in three days after the State Fair debate. Masterson won his primary with just 43% despite a Trump endorsement.Sep 16, 2026Masterson's Kansas Governor Odds Drop 10 Points as Models Show StatewideRepublican odds fell from 76% to 67% in three days. The catalyst: a county-level forecast projecting every Kansas county shifting toward Democrats by up to 16.6 points.Aug 25, 2026Kansas GOP Governor Odds Fall to 71%Seven Republicans remain despite Trump's Masterson endorsement. Kalshi prices GOP at 64%, Polymarket at 69%, PredictIt at 81%, a 17-point cross-platform gap.Aug 14, 2026

Prediction Market Track Record

Kansas Democratic Governor nominee?WONPre-event: 79%

Historical Track Record

Scroll to view past markets

Kansas Democratic Governor nominee?

Resolved

2026-08-04

WONCindy Holscher (D)
Pre-event: 79%
Smart Money Positioning (24 hours)
Full Feed

Smart money is heavily fading Cindy Holscher (D)

Smart Money Consensus$107
$107No
Smart Traders Split1
1No
KalshiBuy No at 74¢Best price among US-regulated venues.

$10K+ lifetime-profit wallets · 24h net flow

Cindy Holscher (D)
No$107 · 1 whale

$10K+ lifetime-profit wallets · 24h net flow

Smart Money Feed
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Trader up $168K lifetime bet $1.7K on Yes at 70¢

4d ago
PolymarketKalshiWill the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?Trade on Kalshi →